Satrix style tracker Q2 2019

How we measured this in Q2 2019

| 1 August 2019

The strategies shown in this report are factors we believe to be most significant in our domestic market. The universe we use is the All Share universe excluding property and small cap shares. We rank the stocks from highest to lowest factor score for each factor and divide the universe into quintiles (subsets or groups of five). We then calculate the quintile spread by taking the top quintile’s return experience less that of the bottom quintile.

Rebalancing and performance calculations are conducted each month. The performance results do not reflect transaction costs, tax withholdings or any investment / advisory fees. The results of these quantitative factor strategies are significantly less diversified, and, as such, their performance is more exposed to specific stock or sector results. Past performance should not and cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance.

While many factors outperform over the long-term, all suffer from periods of underperformance. Combining factors reduces the exposure to a single factor’s cyclical risk, and can create more diversified portfolios.

International experience

Factor performance has reflected investor risk aversion but not in the overt way that sectors have, as style volatility has increased, in so doing masking trends in performance. Putting aside Growth which has clearly been a consistent performer across markets, the poor performance year-to-date of both Value and Low Risk has been curious.

Value is typically seen as the pro-risk/cyclical style, while Low Risk is the opposite and indeed over the past six months has been negatively correlated. However, what we have seen is more rotation in these two styles as investor risk aversion has changed, but they have both been trending downwards. On a short-term basis, exposure in both styles has provided diversification but over the longer term this has been more problematic. The negative performance trend in these styles mirrors the general risk-on positioning of markets of the past six months.

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Satrix Managers (RF) (Pty) Ltd (Satrix) a registered and approved Manager in Collective Investment Schemes in Securities and an authorised financial services provider in terms of the FAIS. Collective investment schemes are generally medium- to long-term investments. Unit Trusts and ETFs the investor essentially owns a “proportionate share” (in proportion to the participatory interest held in the fund) of the underlying investments held by the fund. With Unit Trusts, the investor holds participatory units issued by the fund while in the case of an ETF, the participatory interest, while issued by the fund, comprises a listed security traded on the stock exchange. ETFs are index tracking funds, registered as a Collective Investment and can be traded by any stockbroker on the stock exchange or via Investment Plans and online trading platforms. ETFs may incur additional costs due to it being listed on the JSE. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance and the value of investments / units may go up or down. A schedule of fees and charges, and maximum commissions are available on the Minimum Disclosure Document or upon request from the Manager. Collective investments are traded at ruling prices and can engage in borrowing and scrip lending. Should the respective portfolio engage in scrip lending, the utility percentage and related counterparties can be viewed on the ETF Minimum Disclosure Document. The Manager does not provide any guarantee either with respect to the capital or the return of a portfolio. The index, the applicable tracking error and the portfolio performance relative to the index can be viewed on the ETF Minimum Disclosure Document and/or on the Satrix website. Performance is based on NAV to NAV calculations of the portfolio. Individual performance may differ to that of the portfolio as a result of initial fees, actual investment date, dividend withholding tax and income reinvestment date. The reinvestment of income is calculated based on actual distributed amount and factors such as payment date and reinvestment date must be considered. If the fund holds assets in foreign countries it could be exposed to the following risks regarding potential constraints on liquidity and the repatriation of funds: macro-economic, political, foreign exchange, tax, settlement and potential limitations on the availability of market information.
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